Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 16:00
13.1929.3%
X3.7225.1%
22.0545.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
LLDDDLDDWD
1W 6D 3L · 0.90 PPM
Bournemouth
LDDWWDDWWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
0.80
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.10
50%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.90
Against
7.40
9.50
Total
12.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.00
1.70
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
0.80goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.00Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.30goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.40
9.50
Match total
12.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.70
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
21.30
Match total
22.50
Shots
14.90N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.70
On target
4.50
5%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches165
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.3%30.9%+1.6 pp
Draw25.1%23.6%-1.5 pp
Away45.6%45.5%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.5%
Over 2.572.1%
Over 3.544.8%
BTTS69.7%
Historical average
1.58–1.92
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-211.5%
2-210.3%
2-19.7%
1-18.5%
1-36.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.83–5.49
Average total10.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=165.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.0%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.547.3%
Over 11.538.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.9%17.0%–44.8% CI
Draw FT23.7%13.0%–39.2% CI
Away FT47.4%32.5%–62.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals71.1%
3+ goals31.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.3%
Away65.8%