Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 16:00
11.2873.1%
X5.9315.8%
28.3911.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WDDWWWDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Aston Villa
WLDWDLLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.10
Against
4.60
9.70
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
2.50
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.20goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.50
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.00goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.60
9.70
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
21.90
Match total
22.00

Shots

16.80N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
5.90
On target
4.60
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home73.1%61.5%-11.5 pp
Draw15.8%23.1%+7.3 pp
Away11.1%15.4%+4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.571.8%
Over 3.548.7%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

2.561.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
1-110.3%
4-010.3%
4-15.1%
5-25.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.953.46
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.9%
Over 9.569.2%
Over 10.556.4%
Over 11.538.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Draw FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal92.3%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home84.6%
Away38.5%