Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-24 · 16:00
11.8650.3%
X3.9823.5%
23.5826.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DWDDLWLWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Man United
LDDWDWLDWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
0.60
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
0.90
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.10
Against
5.90
9.20
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.60
Goals conceded
1.20
2.00
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded1.20
Matchup

Man United attack

1.30goals per match
Brighton conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.90
9.20
Match total
10.10
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.40
Match total
3.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
22.50
Match total
21.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.90
On target
3.90
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.3%50.6%+0.3 pp
Draw23.5%25.9%+2.4 pp
Away26.1%23.5%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.548.1%
BTTS64.2%

Historical average

1.941.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.1%
1-111.1%
1-37.4%
1-07.4%
0-06.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.194.85
Average total11.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.581.5%
Over 9.571.6%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.540.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.2%21.6%–64.0% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals29.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.6%
Away41.2%