Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-19 · 20:15
11.9049.3%
X3.6425.7%
23.7624.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
LDWWDDLLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Tottenham
WDLDLLDLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.20
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
4.30
Against
3.70
11.50
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.90
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.20
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.00goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.70
11.50
Match total
7.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
21.80
Match total
22.00

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.40
On target
4.50
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches560
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.3%50.5%+1.2 pp
Draw25.7%26.3%+0.5 pp
Away24.9%23.2%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.530.2%
BTTS58.6%

Historical average

1.701.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
2-110.7%
2-09.1%
1-08.9%
1-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.754.48
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=560.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.555.9%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.530.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches163
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.9%32.7%–47.5% CI
Draw FT40.5%33.3%–48.2% CI
Away FT19.6%14.3%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals50.3%
3+ goals20.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home65.6%
Away47.9%