Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-19 · 19:30
14.4221.3%
X4.2722.0%
21.6656.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
DLWWDDDDDW
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Man City
WDLDWWDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
7.40N=10
4.60
Against
3.50
11.10
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.80goals per matchMan City conceded1.00Matchup
Man City attack
1.50goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
7.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.50
11.10
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
20.30
Match total
21.30
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
17.40N=10
4.50
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.3%4.2%-17.1 pp
Draw22.0%25.0%+3.0 pp
Away56.7%70.8%+14.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS58.3%
Historical average
1.08–2.42
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.7%
0-116.7%
2-312.5%
0-28.3%
3-44.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.50–6.00
Average total10.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.537.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals25.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.5%
Away87.5%