Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-19 · 19:30
14.4221.3%
X4.2722.0%
21.6656.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
DLWWDDDDDW
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Man City
WDLDWWDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
7.40N=10
4.60
Against
3.50
11.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.80goals per match
Man City conceded1.00
Matchup

Man City attack

1.50goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
7.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.50
11.10
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
20.30
Match total
21.30

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
17.40N=10
4.50
On target
5.20
11%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches24
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.3%4.2%-17.1 pp
Draw22.0%25.0%+3.0 pp
Away56.7%70.8%+14.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.545.8%
BTTS58.3%

Historical average

1.082.42

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
0-116.7%
2-312.5%
0-28.3%
3-44.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.506.00
Average total10.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=24.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.0%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI

Remaining goals

2.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away87.5%