Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-18 · 20:00
11.0886.5%
X10.129.2%
222.134.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWDLWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Burnley
DLDLWDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.60
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.90
Against
5.70
8.90
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.00goals per match
Burnley conceded2.20
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
2.90
Corners against
5.70
8.90
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
22.50
Match total
20.90

Shots

16.70N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
5.40
On target
2.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home86.5%92.1%+5.6 pp
Draw9.2%5.3%-4.0 pp
Away4.2%2.6%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.5%
Over 2.565.8%
Over 3.536.8%
BTTS39.5%

Historical average

2.870.50

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.8%
2-015.8%
2-113.2%
1-010.5%
5-010.5%

Comparable corner averages

8.792.37
Average total11.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.555.3%
Over 11.544.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals76.9%
3+ goals30.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home92.3%
Away46.2%