Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 17:30
12.0545.6%
X3.7824.7%
23.1529.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Newcastle
DWWLLLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
West Ham
LLWLWLWLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.80
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
6.60
10.50
Total
11.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.80
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Newcastle attack
1.90goals per matchWest Ham conceded2.00Matchup
West Ham attack
0.90goals per matchNewcastle conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.60
10.50
Match total
11.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.40
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.10
Match total
22.50
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.30
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%36.9%-8.7 pp
Draw24.7%26.2%+1.4 pp
Away29.7%36.9%+7.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.550.8%
BTTS66.2%
Historical average
1.72–1.69
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-210.8%
1-210.8%
1-07.7%
1-16.2%
1-36.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–4.77
Average total10.68
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.550.8%
Over 11.541.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Remaining goals
0.80
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals0.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away20.0%