Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 17:30
12.0545.6%
X3.7824.7%
23.1529.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DWWLLLWLLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
West Ham
LLWLWLWLDL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
2.00
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
2.00
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.60
Against
6.60
10.50
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.80
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.90goals per match
West Ham conceded2.00
Matchup

West Ham attack

0.90goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.60
10.50
Match total
11.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.40
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.10
Match total
22.50

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.30
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.6%36.9%-8.7 pp
Draw24.7%26.2%+1.4 pp
Away29.7%36.9%+7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.2%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.550.8%
BTTS66.2%

Historical average

1.721.69

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-210.8%
1-210.8%
1-07.7%
1-16.2%
1-36.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.914.77
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.550.8%
Over 11.541.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Draw FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Away FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI

Remaining goals

0.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals0.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away20.0%