Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 15:00
13.0930.2%
X3.5726.2%
22.1443.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WDWLWLLDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Brighton
LDDLLWWWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.70
Against
6.10
10.80
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.50goals per match
Brighton conceded1.30
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.30goals per match
Leeds conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.70
Corners against
6.10
10.80
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
20.40
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.60
On target
4.40
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches409
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%32.5%+2.3 pp
Draw26.2%25.2%-1.0 pp
Away43.6%42.3%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.535.9%
BTTS60.1%

Historical average

1.351.63

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-19.8%
2-18.6%
1-28.3%
1-07.1%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.775.03
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=409.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.9%22.1%–39.2% CI
Draw FT39.3%30.5%–48.7% CI
Away FT30.8%22.9%–40.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.9%
2+ goals44.9%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away53.3%