Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 15:00
11.8151.8%
X3.6325.8%
24.1822.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LLDDLLWWLD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Sunderland
DDLLLDWWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.90
Against
5.60
9.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.90
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.40goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.70
Matchup

Sunderland attack

1.00goals per match
Everton conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.60
9.30
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
3.20
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
19.90
Match total
24.40

Shots

11.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.60
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches566
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.8%48.4%-3.4 pp
Draw25.8%30.2%+4.4 pp
Away22.4%21.4%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.5%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.591.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
2-010.1%
0-09.7%
1-09.5%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.954.28
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=566.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.532.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches172
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.0%29.2%–43.5% CI
Draw FT45.9%38.7%–53.4% CI
Away FT18.0%13.0%–24.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals10.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.7%
Away37.2%