Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 12:30
11.5859.1%
X4.2322.1%
24.9418.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
WDWWWWWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLWWLLDWWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.90
Against
5.80
10.40
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.00goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.30
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

2.00goals per match
Man United conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.80
10.40
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.00
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
19.90
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
7.10
On target
4.50
13%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches258
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%61.6%+2.6 pp
Draw22.1%19.8%-2.3 pp
Away18.9%18.6%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.565.9%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS61.2%

Historical average

2.141.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.4%
1-08.9%
1-18.9%
2-07.8%
1-26.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.263.92
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=258.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.533.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT49.0%35.6%–62.5% CI
Draw FT40.8%28.2%–54.8% CI
Away FT10.2%4.4%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals44.9%
3+ goals20.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.4%
Away30.6%