Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-15 · 20:00
12.7634.0%
X3.4427.3%
22.4338.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWLLWDLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Liverpool
WDDLWWLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.40
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.90
1.50
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.50
Against
3.10
10.40
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.40
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.40goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.50
Corners against
3.10
10.40
Match total
9.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
22.50
Match total
19.20

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.20
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches319
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.0%34.5%+0.4 pp
Draw27.3%30.1%+2.8 pp
Away38.7%35.4%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.5%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS62.7%

Historical average

1.431.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
2-18.5%
1-28.2%
0-07.8%
2-06.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.125.00
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=319.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.530.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.5%21.6%–41.1% CI
Draw FT47.6%37.1%–58.2% CI
Away FT22.0%14.4%–32.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away47.6%