Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-13 · 20:00
11.1979.2%
X7.0313.4%
212.757.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWDDWWWDWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Crystal Palace
WLLLDWLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.20
Against
5.90
9.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.90
2.80
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.20goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.90
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.10goals per match
Man City conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.90
9.50
Match total
10.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.50
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
22.10
Match total
19.90

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.10
On target
3.30
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches159
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.2%81.1%+1.9 pp
Draw13.4%9.4%-4.0 pp
Away7.4%9.4%+2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.3%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.544.7%
BTTS54.1%

Historical average

2.770.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.3%
3-011.3%
2-110.7%
3-18.8%
1-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.392.79
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=159.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.536.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches33
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.6%40.8%–72.8% CI
Draw FT15.2%6.7%–30.9% CI
Away FT27.3%15.1%–44.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals30.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.8%
Away45.5%