Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-11 · 20:00
11.8251.5%
X3.8224.5%
23.9223.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
WLDLDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Leeds
DDDLDDDDWD
1W 8D 1L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
2.10
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
2.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.20goals per match
Leeds conceded1.30
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.30goals per match
Tottenham conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.10
Match total
20.90

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.80
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches348
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%51.1%-0.4 pp
Draw24.5%25.9%+1.3 pp
Away23.9%23.0%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.751.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
1-08.9%
2-18.6%
2-08.3%
3-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.004.32
Average total10.32

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=348.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.9%27.3%–45.5% CI
Draw FT43.7%34.5%–53.3% CI
Away FT20.4%13.7%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals50.5%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.1%
Away53.4%