Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-11 · 20:00
11.8251.5%
X3.8224.5%
23.9223.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tottenham
WLDLDLLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Leeds
DDDLDDDDWD
1W 8D 1L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.30
2.10
Conceded
1.30
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.90
1.70
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
6.50
11.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
2.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.30
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tottenham attack
1.20goals per matchLeeds conceded1.30Matchup
Leeds attack
1.30goals per matchTottenham conceded2.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
6.50
11.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.20
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
24.10
Match total
20.90
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
4.80
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches348
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%51.1%-0.4 pp
Draw24.5%25.9%+1.3 pp
Away23.9%23.0%-0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.533.0%
BTTS59.2%
Historical average
1.75–1.14
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.8%
1-08.9%
2-18.6%
2-08.3%
3-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.00–4.32
Average total10.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=348.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.9%27.3%–45.5% CI
Draw FT43.7%34.5%–53.3% CI
Away FT20.4%13.7%–29.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals50.5%
3+ goals19.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home62.1%
Away53.4%