Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 16:30
15.2917.7%
X4.0922.9%
21.5859.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Ham
LLDLWDDDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Arsenal
LWWDWDDWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.90
Against
4.10
9.60
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.00
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

West Ham attack

1.60goals per match
Arsenal conceded1.00
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.80goals per match
West Ham conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.10
9.60
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.30
Match total
3.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
21.70
Match total
19.50

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.40
On target
4.50
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches167
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.7%12.6%-5.2 pp
Draw22.9%24.6%+1.6 pp
Away59.3%62.9%+3.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS58.7%

Historical average

0.972.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-211.4%
0-111.4%
1-111.4%
1-210.8%
2-29.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.286.15
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=166.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.560.8%
Over 10.545.8%
Over 11.539.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches36
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT5.6%1.5%–18.1% CI
Draw FT38.9%24.8%–55.1% CI
Away FT55.6%39.6%–70.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.53

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals8.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away83.3%