Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 14:00
12.5836.4%
X3.4827.0%
22.5636.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
WLLDDDLDDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Newcastle
LLWDLWLWLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
0.80
50%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.10
Against
4.30
9.80
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
1.80
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.00goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.30
Matchup

Newcastle attack

0.90goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.30
9.80
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.90
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
20.80
Match total
20.80

Shots

14.70N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
3.70
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches545
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.4%35.2%-1.1 pp
Draw27.0%28.8%+1.8 pp
Away36.7%36.0%-0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.4%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.531.0%
BTTS63.7%

Historical average

1.411.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-210.1%
2-18.8%
1-07.3%
2-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.99
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=545.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches135
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.3%28.7%–44.7% CI
Draw FT34.1%26.6%–42.4% CI
Away FT29.6%22.6%–37.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals54.1%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away54.8%