Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 14:00
15.3417.6%
X4.0923.0%
21.5859.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LDLDDLLDLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Aston Villa
WWLDWDLLDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.70
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.30
Against
4.90
10.00
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.90
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.00goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.50
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.10goals per match
Burnley conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.30
Corners against
4.90
10.00
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.30
Match total
4.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
17.30
Match total
22.50

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.30
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home17.6%12.4%-5.2 pp
Draw23.0%25.3%+2.3 pp
Away59.4%62.4%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.537.1%
BTTS57.6%

Historical average

0.892.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
0-111.8%
1-210.6%
0-210.0%
1-39.4%

Comparable corner averages

4.106.01
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=169.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.558.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches47
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.6%4.6%–22.6% CI
Draw FT38.3%25.8%–52.6% CI
Away FT51.1%37.2%–64.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.9%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.3%
Away72.3%