Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 17:30
11.3569.8%
X5.5117.1%
27.2313.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man City
WWWDDWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Brentford
LWWLWWWDDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.10
Against
5.90
9.20
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man City attack
2.20goals per matchBrentford conceded1.30Matchup
Brentford attack
1.50goals per matchMan City conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.90
9.20
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.70
Match total
19.30
Shots
16.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.00
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%75.3%+5.4 pp
Draw17.1%14.1%-3.0 pp
Away13.0%10.6%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.545.9%
BTTS65.9%
Historical average
2.40–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.5%
3-114.1%
1-010.6%
2-09.4%
3-25.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.53–3.56
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home73.3%
Away20.0%