Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 17:30
11.3569.8%
X5.5117.1%
27.2313.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWDDWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Brentford
LWWLWWWDDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.10
Against
5.90
9.20
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.80
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.20goals per match
Brentford conceded1.30
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.50goals per match
Man City conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.10
Corners against
5.90
9.20
Match total
10.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.70
Match total
19.30

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
6.00
On target
4.10
13%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches85
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.8%75.3%+5.4 pp
Draw17.1%14.1%-3.0 pp
Away13.0%10.6%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.570.6%
Over 3.545.9%
BTTS65.9%

Historical average

2.401.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.5%
3-114.1%
1-010.6%
2-09.4%
3-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.533.56
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=85.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.557.6%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home73.3%
Away20.0%