Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 15:00
13.9324.0%
X3.7025.4%
21.8650.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
WDDWWLLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Man United
WLDDWDWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.70
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.60
Against
5.30
9.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.70
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

0.90goals per match
Man United conceded1.30
Matchup

Man United attack

1.70goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.30
9.00
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.20
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
20.90
Match total
21.70

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
3.40
On target
4.80
8%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches364
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.0%22.8%-1.1 pp
Draw25.4%23.9%-1.5 pp
Away50.6%53.3%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.559.9%
Over 3.534.3%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

1.151.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.5%
1-110.4%
0-28.0%
0-17.1%
1-36.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.345.75
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=364.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches108
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.5%12.3%–26.9% CI
Draw FT38.0%29.4%–47.4% CI
Away FT43.5%34.6%–52.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.6%
2+ goals57.4%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.1%
Away67.6%