Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 15:00
11.2774.4%
X5.8816.1%
29.989.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brighton
DDWDDLWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Wolves
LLDDLDLDLL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.60
0.70
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
10.00
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.60
0.70
Goals conceded
1.80
1.90
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Wolves conceded1.80
Matchup

Wolves attack

0.60goals per match
Brighton conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
10.00
Match total
9.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.50
Match total
3.60
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
22.50
Match total
24.20

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.70
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches156
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.4%72.4%-2.0 pp
Draw16.1%17.9%+1.9 pp
Away9.5%9.6%+0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.589.1%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.541.7%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

2.490.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.5%
3-010.9%
1-19.6%
2-19.0%
4-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.373.04
Average total10.41

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=155.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.561.3%
Over 10.546.5%
Over 11.537.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.1%36.4%–69.1% CI
Draw FT34.4%20.4%–51.7% CI
Away FT12.5%5.0%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals68.8%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away37.5%