Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-09 · 12:30
11.8251.6%
X3.9523.8%
23.8124.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
WWDDWLWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Chelsea
DDDLWWLWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
0.90
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.80N=10
5.10
Against
4.50
11.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

2.10goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.60
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.50goals per match
Liverpool conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.80N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.50
11.20
Match total
10.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
20.20
Match total
21.60

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.30
On target
4.40
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches16
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%62.5%+10.9 pp
Draw23.8%18.8%-5.0 pp
Away24.6%18.8%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.568.8%
Over 3.556.3%
BTTS62.5%

Historical average

2.561.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-018.8%
1-112.5%
3-112.5%
4-36.3%
2-36.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.635.06
Average total10.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=16.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.537.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT37.5%18.5%–61.4% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.88

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away50.0%