Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-04 · 20:00
16.3814.7%
X4.6320.2%
21.4465.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WLLDDLLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Man City
WWDLDWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.30
Against
3.20
8.80
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.40goals per match
Man City conceded0.70
Matchup

Man City attack

1.50goals per match
Everton conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.20
8.80
Match total
9.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.10
Match total
20.80

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
4.50
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.7%17.0%+2.3 pp
Draw20.2%17.0%-3.2 pp
Away65.1%65.9%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.042.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.6%
0-111.9%
0-39.6%
2-27.4%
1-36.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.926.36
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT57.1%39.1%–73.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals53.6%
3+ goals32.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away67.9%