Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-04 · 20:00
16.3814.7%
X4.6320.2%
21.4465.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
WLLDDLLWWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Man City
WWDLDWWDWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
0.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
6.70N=10
4.30
Against
3.20
8.80
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
0.70
2.60
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.40goals per matchMan City conceded0.70Matchup
Man City attack
1.50goals per matchEverton conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.20
8.80
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.20N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.10
Match total
20.80
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
4.50
On target
5.40
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches135
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.7%17.0%+2.3 pp
Draw20.2%17.0%-3.2 pp
Away65.1%65.9%+0.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.537.8%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.04–2.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.6%
0-111.9%
0-39.6%
2-27.4%
1-36.7%
Comparable corner averages
3.92–6.36
Average total10.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=135.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.534.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches28
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.9%7.9%–35.6% CI
Draw FT25.0%12.7%–43.4% CI
Away FT57.1%39.1%–73.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.75
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals53.6%
3+ goals32.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.7%
Away67.9%