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Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-04 · 15:00

Chelsea

vs

Nott'm Forest

11.6855.9%
X3.9323.9%
24.6520.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
WLDWWDDLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Nott'm Forest
LLLWWLLDWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.70
1.40
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.50
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.90
Against
5.40
11.50
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.70
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.70
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.30goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.50
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.70goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.40
11.50
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.50
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
22.00
Match total
23.70

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.40
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches545
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.9%60.9%+5.0 pp
Draw23.9%21.8%-2.1 pp
Away20.2%17.2%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS58.7%

Historical average

2.03–1.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.7%
1-19.9%
2-09.9%
1-09.7%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.16–3.97
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=545.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches130
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.3%43.8%–60.7% CI
Draw FT33.1%25.6%–41.5% CI
Away FT14.6%9.6%–21.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.8%
2+ goals50.8%
3+ goals26.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.8%
Away38.5%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamChelseaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamNott'm ForestForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareChelsea vs Nott'm ForestCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPremier LeagueLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPremier League team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.