Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 19:00
12.1044.7%
X3.5926.1%
23.2129.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWWLLWDLWW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Tottenham
LWDLDLLDLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.10
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.30
Against
3.50
10.00
Total
7.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.60goals per match
Tottenham conceded1.40
Matchup

Tottenham attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.50
10.00
Match total
7.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
21.90
Match total
21.80

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.70
On target
4.10
10%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches485
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%41.4%-3.2 pp
Draw26.1%29.7%+3.6 pp
Away29.2%28.9%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.9%
Over 2.553.0%
Over 3.531.8%
BTTS56.3%

Historical average

1.531.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.0%
1-09.3%
2-19.1%
0-08.0%
2-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.554.53
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=485.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches140
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.6%26.3%–41.7% CI
Draw FT43.6%35.6%–51.8% CI
Away FT22.9%16.7%–30.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away45.7%