Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 15:30
12.2940.9%
X3.7325.1%
22.7634.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
DWDWWWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Liverpool
DWDDLWWLLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.70
2.00
2H goals
2.20
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
6.70N=10
5.10
Against
3.30
10.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.10goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.40
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.50goals per match
Man United conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
1.20
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
6.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.30
10.80
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.10
Match total
3.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
20.30
Match total
19.70

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
7.40
On target
4.20
13%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%35.9%-5.0 pp
Draw25.1%32.1%+6.9 pp
Away34.0%32.1%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.1%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS70.5%

Historical average

1.711.45

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.1%
1-112.8%
2-29.0%
2-19.0%
0-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.974.36
Average total10.33

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%29.0%–71.0% CI
Away FT38.9%20.3%–61.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals22.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.9%
Away61.1%