Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 14:00
11.5859.4%
X4.1622.6%
25.2018.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
DDLWWDDDDD
2W 7D 1L · 1.30 PPM
Crystal Palace
WWLLLDWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.40
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.50
Against
5.50
10.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.50goals per match
Crystal Palace conceded1.60
Matchup

Crystal Palace attack

1.20goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.50
10.80
Match total
10.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.50
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.00
Match total
19.50

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.50
On target
3.50
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches411
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.4%60.6%+1.2 pp
Draw22.6%20.9%-1.6 pp
Away18.0%18.5%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

2.020.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-010.5%
1-010.2%
1-19.7%
2-18.8%
3-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.293.87
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=411.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.534.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.1%41.1%–60.9% CI
Draw FT33.0%24.3%–43.0% CI
Away FT16.0%9.9%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.9%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.1%
Away36.2%