Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 17:30
11.4465.2%
X4.3921.4%
27.0013.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWDLWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Fulham
WWDLLLWDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.50
Against
6.10
9.00
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.90goals per match
Fulham conceded1.30
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.00goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.50
Corners against
6.10
9.00
Match total
10.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.80
Match total
17.10

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%73.5%+8.3 pp
Draw21.4%16.4%-5.0 pp
Away13.4%10.2%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS36.3%

Historical average

2.040.59

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-017.3%
2-016.8%
2-18.8%
3-07.5%
1-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.35
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.524.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%49.4%–72.4% CI
Draw FT24.6%15.8%–36.3% CI
Away FT13.8%7.5%–24.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away24.6%