Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 17:30
11.4465.2%
X4.3921.4%
27.0013.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Arsenal
WWWDLWWWLW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Fulham
WWDLLLWDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.50
Against
6.10
9.00
Total
10.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Arsenal attack
1.90goals per matchFulham conceded1.30Matchup
Fulham attack
1.00goals per matchArsenal conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.50
Corners against
6.10
9.00
Match total
10.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.80
Match total
17.10
Shots
16.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.70
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches226
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%73.5%+8.3 pp
Draw21.4%16.4%-5.0 pp
Away13.4%10.2%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.528.3%
BTTS36.3%
Historical average
2.04–0.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-017.3%
2-016.8%
2-18.8%
3-07.5%
1-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–3.35
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=226.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.546.0%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.524.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.5%49.4%–72.4% CI
Draw FT24.6%15.8%–36.3% CI
Away FT13.8%7.5%–24.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.5%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.2%
Away24.6%