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Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 15:00

Newcastle

vs

Brighton

12.5037.7%
X3.6026.1%
22.6036.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WDWWLLLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Brighton
LLDDLLWWWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.50
Against
6.10
11.10
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
1.20
3.70
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.80goals per match
Brighton conceded1.20
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.50
Corners against
6.10
11.10
Match total
9.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.20
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.90
Match total
22.20

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.40
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches400
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%35.5%-2.2 pp
Draw26.1%29.3%+3.1 pp
Away36.2%35.3%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.552.5%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS60.5%

Historical average

1.42–1.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-29.8%
2-18.5%
0-17.8%
1-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.19–4.93
Average total10.12

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=400.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.8%27.4%–45.3% CI
Draw FT36.8%28.2%–46.3% CI
Away FT27.4%19.8%–36.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.2%
2+ goals47.2%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.5%
Away53.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamNewcastleForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamBrightonForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareNewcastle vs BrightonCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionPremier LeagueLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsPremier League team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.