Premier League · 2025/26
2026-05-01 · 20:00
11.3470.4%
X5.0918.5%
28.5711.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
DWDWLWLLDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Burnley
LDLDLWDLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
1.20
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.80
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.10
Against
6.10
11.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
1.20
Goals conceded
2.10
2.70
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.50goals per match
Burnley conceded2.10
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Leeds conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.10
11.20
Match total
10.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.30
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.90
Match total
20.60

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
6.80N=10
4.30
On target
2.50
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.4%73.4%+3.0 pp
Draw18.5%13.3%-5.3 pp
Away11.0%13.3%+2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.558.2%
Over 3.527.8%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

2.180.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.2%
2-113.3%
3-010.8%
1-110.1%
2-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.133.21
Average total10.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=158.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.556.3%
Over 10.546.8%
Over 11.536.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches32
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT65.6%48.3%–79.6% CI
Draw FT21.9%11.0%–38.8% CI
Away FT12.5%5.0%–28.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.6%
2+ goals46.9%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.1%
Away34.4%