Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-27 · 20:00
11.8451.0%
X3.8224.6%
23.8424.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
DDWDWWWWWL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Brentford
LLWWLWWWDD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
2.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.90
Against
5.60
10.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Man United attack

2.00goals per match
Brentford conceded1.30
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.60
10.50
Match total
10.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.00
Match total
19.40

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
7.20
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches189
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.0%49.2%-1.8 pp
Draw24.6%24.9%+0.3 pp
Away24.4%25.9%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.8%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.540.7%
BTTS68.3%

Historical average

1.901.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.2%
2-18.5%
1-27.9%
2-07.4%
1-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.164.40
Average total10.56

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=189.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.576.7%
Over 9.560.3%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches40
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%26.3%–55.4% CI
Draw FT42.5%28.5%–57.8% CI
Away FT17.5%8.7%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals57.5%
3+ goals25.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away45.0%