Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 17:30
11.4564.8%
X4.6620.1%
26.2215.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWWDLWWWL
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Newcastle
WLLWDLWLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
6.80N=10
3.10
Against
4.40
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.00goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.30
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.30goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.40
9.30
Match total
11.20
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
8.50N=10
22.10
Match total
19.50

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
12.30N=10
5.00
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches255
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.8%67.1%+2.3 pp
Draw20.1%20.8%+0.6 pp
Away15.1%12.2%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.535.3%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

2.150.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
1-09.4%
0-09.0%
3-18.2%
1-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.853.28
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=255.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.544.7%
Over 11.532.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.6%37.4%–59.9% CI
Draw FT43.1%32.3%–54.6% CI
Away FT8.3%3.9%–17.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.1%
2+ goals43.1%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.1%
Away31.9%