Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 15:00
11.4465.3%
X4.7619.8%
26.3114.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Liverpool
DWWDDWLWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Crystal Palace
WWWLLLDWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.60
Against
5.10
10.90
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Liverpool attack
1.90goals per matchCrystal Palace conceded1.30Matchup
Crystal Palace attack
1.30goals per matchLiverpool conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.10
10.90
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.50
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
19.70
Match total
19.70
Shots
19.10N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches272
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.3%64.7%-0.6 pp
Draw19.8%22.4%+2.7 pp
Away14.9%12.9%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.537.5%
BTTS51.5%
Historical average
2.19–0.89
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.1%
0-09.6%
2-09.2%
1-07.7%
3-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.87–3.45
Average total10.32
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=272.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.534.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches78
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.7%37.9%–59.6% CI
Draw FT42.3%32.0%–53.4% CI
Away FT9.0%4.4%–17.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals47.4%
3+ goals19.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.3%
Away29.5%