Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 12:30
12.6735.2%
X3.5026.8%
22.4738.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Fulham
LLWDWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Aston Villa
WWWLDWDLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.20
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.10
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Fulham attack
1.80goals per matchAston Villa conceded1.70Matchup
Aston Villa attack
1.50goals per matchFulham conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
18.00
Match total
21.80
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.00
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches495
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%32.1%-3.0 pp
Draw26.8%30.3%+3.5 pp
Away38.0%37.6%-0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS62.0%
Historical average
1.37–1.48
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
1-29.5%
2-17.5%
0-26.9%
0-06.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–5.03
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=495.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%21.9%–37.3% CI
Draw FT44.3%36.1%–52.8% CI
Away FT26.7%19.9%–34.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals53.4%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.7%
Away54.2%