Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-25 · 12:30
12.6735.2%
X3.5026.8%
22.4738.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fulham
LLWDWWLWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Aston Villa
WWWLDWDLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.70
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
2.20
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.70N=10
6.10
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
3.40
Total goals
3.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.70
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.50goals per match
Fulham conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
9.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.20
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
18.00
Match total
21.80

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.00
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches495
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%32.1%-3.0 pp
Draw26.8%30.3%+3.5 pp
Away38.0%37.6%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.530.9%
BTTS62.0%

Historical average

1.371.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
1-29.5%
2-17.5%
0-26.9%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.145.03
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=495.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches131
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.0%21.9%–37.3% CI
Draw FT44.3%36.1%–52.8% CI
Away FT26.7%19.9%–34.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.63

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals53.4%
3+ goals21.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away54.2%