Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-24 · 20:00
12.6735.2%
X3.1829.5%
22.6635.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
WWDDWWLLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Nott'm Forest
WLLLWWLLDW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.30
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.30
Against
5.40
9.00
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

1.20goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded1.50
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

1.30goals per match
Sunderland conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.40
9.00
Match total
10.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.50
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
20.80
Match total
23.90

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
3.60
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,282
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.2%32.2%-3.0 pp
Draw29.5%31.4%+1.9 pp
Away35.3%36.3%+1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.0%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.522.3%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.161.26

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
0-110.8%
0-09.2%
1-09.0%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.77
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,281.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.550.9%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches424
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT27.8%23.8%–32.3% CI
Draw FT41.3%36.7%–46.0% CI
Away FT30.9%26.7%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.2%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals14.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.8%
Away50.2%