Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 20:00
12.0246.7%
X3.5126.9%
23.5726.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bournemouth
LDDLWWDDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Leeds
LDDDLDDDDW
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Against
6.10
10.20
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bournemouth attack
1.30goals per matchLeeds conceded1.40Matchup
Leeds attack
1.30goals per matchBournemouth conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.10
10.20
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.20
Match total
22.10
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches457
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%46.0%-0.7 pp
Draw26.9%26.5%-0.4 pp
Away26.4%27.6%+1.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS59.3%
Historical average
1.67–1.20
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.6%
1-111.4%
1-29.0%
2-27.2%
1-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.49–4.37
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%25.0%–42.2% CI
Draw FT42.0%33.2%–51.2% CI
Away FT25.0%17.9%–33.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away46.4%