Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 20:00
12.0246.7%
X3.5126.9%
23.5726.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bournemouth
LDDLWWDDDD
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Leeds
LDDDLDDDDW
1W 7D 2L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.00
Against
6.10
10.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.40
2.60
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.30goals per match
Leeds conceded1.40
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.30goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.10
10.20
Match total
9.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.70
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.20
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.00
On target
4.10
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches457
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.7%46.0%-0.7 pp
Draw26.9%26.5%-0.4 pp
Away26.4%27.6%+1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.558.4%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

1.671.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-111.6%
1-111.4%
1-29.0%
2-27.2%
1-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.37
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=457.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.4%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches112
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%25.0%–42.2% CI
Draw FT42.0%33.2%–51.2% CI
Away FT25.0%17.9%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.2%
2+ goals46.4%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away46.4%