Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 16:30
11.8251.7%
X3.6026.1%
24.2522.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man City
WWWWDDWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Arsenal
DLWWDWDDWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.80
0.70
Conceded
0.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
3.30
Against
3.60
9.30
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.80
0.70
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.70
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Man City attack

2.30goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.90
Matchup

Arsenal attack

1.80goals per match
Man City conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
100%10/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.60
9.30
Match total
8.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.60
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
23.90
Match total
20.30

Shots

16.30N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
6.10
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches614
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%49.0%-2.7 pp
Draw26.1%30.1%+4.0 pp
Away22.1%20.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.8%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

1.530.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.9%
1-112.7%
0-010.1%
2-19.4%
2-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.884.13
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=614.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.3%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches201
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.3%30.9%–44.2% CI
Draw FT44.3%37.6%–51.2% CI
Away FT18.4%13.7%–24.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals34.3%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.2%
Away36.8%