Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 14:00
11.4963.0%
X4.2522.1%
26.3214.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nott'm Forest
LWLLDDDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Burnley
LLDLDLWDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.90
Against
6.20
10.10
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
1.50
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nott'm Forest attack
0.60goals per matchBurnley conceded2.00Matchup
Burnley attack
0.90goals per matchNott'm Forest conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.20
10.10
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.80
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.90
Match total
20.00
Shots
15.60N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
4%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches380
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.0%63.9%+0.9 pp
Draw22.1%19.5%-2.6 pp
Away14.9%16.6%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS46.3%
Historical average
2.01–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.9%
2-012.4%
2-19.7%
1-19.2%
3-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.47–3.60
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=380.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.532.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.9%44.1%–65.2% CI
Draw FT30.5%21.6%–41.1% CI
Away FT14.6%8.6%–23.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home67.1%
Away34.1%