Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 14:00
11.4963.0%
X4.2522.1%
26.3214.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
LWLLDDDLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Burnley
LLDLDLWDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
50%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
0.80
2H goals
1.60
50%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.90
Against
6.20
10.10
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
1.50
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

0.60goals per match
Burnley conceded2.00
Matchup

Burnley attack

0.90goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.20
10.10
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
2.80
Match total
3.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.90
Match total
20.00

Shots

15.60N=10
Shots
7.00N=10
3.60
On target
2.40
4%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches380
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.0%63.9%+0.9 pp
Draw22.1%19.5%-2.6 pp
Away14.9%16.6%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.5%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS46.3%

Historical average

2.010.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.9%
2-012.4%
2-19.7%
1-19.2%
3-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.473.60
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=380.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.532.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT54.9%44.1%–65.2% CI
Draw FT30.5%21.6%–41.1% CI
Away FT14.6%8.6%–23.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.5%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home67.1%
Away34.1%