Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 14:00
13.1130.2%
X3.3628.0%
22.2541.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
LWLLDDLLWW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Liverpool
WDWDDLWWLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.60
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
6.30N=10
4.40
Against
3.90
9.60
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.40goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.30
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.50goals per match
Everton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
30%3/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
4.40
Corners against
3.90
9.60
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.20
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
20.10
Match total
20.30

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
4.30
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches707
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%29.1%-1.1 pp
Draw28.0%26.4%-1.5 pp
Away41.8%44.4%+2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.549.4%
Over 3.527.6%
BTTS56.0%

Historical average

1.201.49

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.6%
1-210.3%
0-19.6%
1-07.9%
0-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.815.28
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=707.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches218
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.4%22.9%–34.8% CI
Draw FT33.5%27.6%–40.0% CI
Away FT38.1%31.9%–44.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals46.3%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.1%
Away58.3%