Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-19 · 14:00
11.6557.1%
X3.7824.9%
25.2518.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Aston Villa
WWWWLLWDLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Sunderland
DLDDLLLDWW
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.10
Against
5.90
10.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.30goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.60
Matchup

Sunderland attack

0.70goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.90
10.10
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.10
Match total
23.40

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches672
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%60.3%+3.2 pp
Draw24.9%22.6%-2.3 pp
Away18.0%17.1%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.4%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS49.0%

Historical average

1.720.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.7%
2-112.5%
2-010.4%
1-110.1%
3-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.75
Average total9.88

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=672.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches208
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT50.0%43.3%–56.7% CI
Draw FT33.2%27.1%–39.8% CI
Away FT16.8%12.4%–22.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.3%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals14.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.4%
Away38.0%