Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 20:00
12.2142.7%
X3.5426.6%
23.0730.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Chelsea
DWLDWWDDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Man United
WWLDDWDWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.10
Against
5.00
11.30
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.40goals per match
Man United conceded1.40
Matchup

Man United attack

1.80goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.00
11.30
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.80
Match total
3.40
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.00
Match total
22.00

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%39.9%-2.8 pp
Draw26.6%27.3%+0.7 pp
Away30.7%32.8%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS64.5%

Historical average

1.621.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-19.8%
1-19.8%
0-08.7%
1-28.2%
3-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.92
Average total10.31

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.560.1%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.535.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%26.4%–53.5% CI
Draw FT45.7%32.2%–59.8% CI
Away FT15.2%7.6%–28.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals19.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away34.8%