Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 20:00
12.2142.7%
X3.5426.6%
23.0730.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Chelsea
DWLDWWDDLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Man United
WWLDDWDWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
2.20
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
5.10
Against
5.00
11.30
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.40goals per matchMan United conceded1.40Matchup
Man United attack
1.80goals per matchChelsea conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
1.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.00
11.30
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.80
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
22.00
Match total
22.00
Shots
14.40N=10
Shots
15.90N=10
3.50
On target
5.30
10%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home42.7%39.9%-2.8 pp
Draw26.6%27.3%+0.7 pp
Away30.7%32.8%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.540.4%
BTTS64.5%
Historical average
1.62–1.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-19.8%
1-19.8%
0-08.7%
1-28.2%
3-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.39–4.92
Average total10.31
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.3%
Over 9.560.1%
Over 10.547.0%
Over 11.535.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches46
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.1%26.4%–53.5% CI
Draw FT45.7%32.2%–59.8% CI
Away FT15.2%7.6%–28.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.24
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal65.2%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals19.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.5%
Away34.8%