Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 17:30
12.6835.1%
X3.6525.8%
22.4139.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Tottenham
LWLDLDLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Brighton
WLLDDLLWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
2.10
Conceded
1.00
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.10
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.10
Against
6.30
10.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
2.10
Goals conceded
1.00
3.20
Total goals
2.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Tottenham attack

1.10goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.20goals per match
Tottenham conceded2.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
6.30
10.80
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
5.30
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
23.10
Match total
21.50

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
4.40
On target
4.40
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches290
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%35.5%+0.4 pp
Draw25.8%29.7%+3.9 pp
Away39.1%34.8%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.557.6%
Over 3.536.2%
BTTS65.2%

Historical average

1.501.51

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
2-18.6%
2-27.9%
1-27.6%
2-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.235.16
Average total10.39

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=290.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.547.9%
Over 11.536.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches67
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.8%28.0%–50.8% CI
Draw FT32.8%22.8%–44.7% CI
Away FT28.4%19.0%–40.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals50.7%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.2%
Away52.2%