Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 15:00
11.9648.1%
X3.8124.8%
23.4827.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
DWDWWLLLWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Bournemouth
LDLDDWWDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.60
1.90
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
2.10
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.50N=10
For
5.30N=10
5.00
Against
7.20
12.50
Total
12.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

1.90goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.60
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.60goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.50N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
5.00
Corners against
7.20
12.50
Match total
12.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.90
Match total
4.30
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
23.30
Match total
22.30

Shots

15.30N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
5.80
On target
5.20
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches81
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.1%43.2%-4.9 pp
Draw24.8%28.4%+3.6 pp
Away27.1%28.4%+1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.7%
Over 2.565.4%
Over 3.543.2%
BTTS70.4%

Historical average

1.801.40

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-29.9%
2-18.6%
2-28.6%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.124.52
Average total10.64

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=81.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.575.3%
Over 9.569.1%
Over 10.554.3%
Over 11.539.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%23.1%–66.8% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT6.3%1.1%–28.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away43.8%