Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-13 · 20:00
11.5959.1%
X4.0723.1%
25.3017.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Man United
LDDWDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Leeds
LLDDDLDDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.60
Against
5.60
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Man United attack

1.90goals per match
Leeds conceded1.60
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.20goals per match
Man United conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.60
10.00
Match total
9.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.40
Match total
21.50

Shots

17.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.90
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches390
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%59.7%+0.6 pp
Draw23.1%21.3%-1.8 pp
Away17.7%19.0%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.900.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.5%
2-010.8%
1-110.8%
2-110.3%
3-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.443.84
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=390.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.533.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%46.3%–65.7% CI
Draw FT31.3%22.9%–41.1% CI
Away FT12.5%7.3%–20.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.1%
Away39.6%