Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-13 · 20:00
11.5959.1%
X4.0723.1%
25.3017.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Man United
LDDWDWWWWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Leeds
LLDDDLDDDD
0W 7D 3L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
2.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.40N=10
4.60
Against
5.60
10.00
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
3.00
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Man United attack
1.90goals per matchLeeds conceded1.60Matchup
Leeds attack
1.20goals per matchMan United conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.60
10.00
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.60
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
20.40
Match total
21.50
Shots
17.50N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.90
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches390
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.1%59.7%+0.6 pp
Draw23.1%21.3%-1.8 pp
Away17.7%19.0%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.9%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS55.6%
Historical average
1.90–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-011.5%
2-010.8%
1-110.8%
2-110.3%
3-17.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.44–3.84
Average total10.28
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=390.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.545.6%
Over 11.533.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%46.3%–65.7% CI
Draw FT31.3%22.9%–41.1% CI
Away FT12.5%7.3%–20.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.54
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals45.8%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.1%
Away39.6%