Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 14:00
12.6136.1%
X3.3328.3%
22.6535.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Nott'm Forest
WLWLLDDDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Aston Villa
WWWWLDWDLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.60
0.90
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.00
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
4.80
10.10
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.60
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
1.70
Total goals
3.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Nott'm Forest attack

0.80goals per match
Aston Villa conceded1.70
Matchup

Aston Villa attack

1.60goals per match
Nott'm Forest conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.80
10.10
Match total
9.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
2.70
Match total
4.40
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
20.50
Match total
22.70

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
3.80
On target
5.00
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches1,008
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.1%34.3%-1.8 pp
Draw28.3%27.6%-0.7 pp
Away35.6%38.1%+2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.281.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.3%
1-210.3%
1-09.6%
0-19.2%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.994.73
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=1,008.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches313
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT30.4%25.5%–35.7% CI
Draw FT36.4%31.3%–41.9% CI
Away FT33.2%28.2%–38.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.4%
Away54.3%