Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 17:30
11.6258.0%
X4.1822.5%
24.8319.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Liverpool
LDWWDDWLWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Fulham
LWWWDLLLWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.30
Against
6.10
10.80
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Liverpool attack

1.70goals per match
Fulham conceded1.40
Matchup

Fulham attack

1.20goals per match
Liverpool conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.10
10.80
Match total
10.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.50N=10
2.70
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
20.20
Match total
17.90

Shots

19.40N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.0%60.7%+2.7 pp
Draw22.5%24.3%+1.8 pp
Away19.5%15.0%-4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.7%
Over 2.564.5%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS67.3%

Historical average

2.001.21

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.8%
1-115.0%
3-19.3%
1-07.5%
2-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.394.47
Average total10.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.565.4%
Over 10.553.3%
Over 11.540.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away53.3%