Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00
14.4821.1%
X3.9324.0%
21.7254.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Burnley
LLLDLDDLLD
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM
Brighton
DWLLDDLLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.00
1.90
Conceded
1.00
50%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.00
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.30
Against
5.90
9.30
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded
1.00
2.90
Total goals
2.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.00goals per match
Brighton conceded1.00
Matchup

Brighton attack

1.00goals per match
Burnley conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
1.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.90
9.30
Match total
9.80
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.90N=10
2.50
Match total
4.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
17.10
Match total
21.90

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
3.30
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches345
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.1%16.8%-4.3 pp
Draw24.0%22.0%-2.0 pp
Away54.9%61.2%+6.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.558.8%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS56.8%

Historical average

0.991.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-211.6%
0-110.7%
1-19.3%
0-29.0%
1-37.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.235.60
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=345.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.526.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches93
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.3%11.7%–27.3% CI
Draw FT32.3%23.6%–42.3% CI
Away FT49.5%39.5%–59.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.3%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home34.4%
Away63.4%