Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00
12.1344.2%
X3.3128.5%
23.4527.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Brentford
WWDWDWLDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Everton
WWLDWWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.90
Against
6.10
9.10
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.70goals per match
Everton conceded0.80
Matchup

Everton attack

1.10goals per match
Brentford conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.10
9.10
Match total
9.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.40
Match total
23.20

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.80
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches762
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%43.0%-1.2 pp
Draw28.5%32.3%+3.8 pp
Away27.3%24.7%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS53.9%

Historical average

1.431.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-011.7%
2-19.7%
0-09.1%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.43
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=762.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches253
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%26.9%–38.4% CI
Draw FT45.5%39.4%–51.6% CI
Away FT22.1%17.5%–27.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals12.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.5%
Away43.5%