Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 15:00
12.1344.2%
X3.3128.5%
23.4527.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Brentford
WWDWDWLDLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Everton
WWLDWWDWWL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
0.80
50%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.90
Against
6.10
9.10
Total
9.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
0.80
2.80
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Brentford attack
1.70goals per matchEverton conceded0.80Matchup
Everton attack
1.10goals per matchBrentford conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.90
Corners against
6.10
9.10
Match total
9.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
20.40
Match total
23.20
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
3.80
On target
3.30
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches762
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%43.0%-1.2 pp
Draw28.5%32.3%+3.8 pp
Away27.3%24.7%-2.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
1.43–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.4%
1-011.7%
2-19.7%
0-09.1%
2-07.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.37–4.43
Average total9.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=762.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches253
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.4%26.9%–38.4% CI
Draw FT45.5%39.4%–51.6% CI
Away FT22.1%17.5%–27.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals37.2%
3+ goals12.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.5%
Away43.5%