Premier League · 2025/26
2026-04-11 · 12:30
11.4365.9%
X4.5520.7%
27.0613.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Arsenal
WWWWWDLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Bournemouth
LLDLDDWWDD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.40
0.80
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.70
2.20
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
3.10
Against
6.80
8.70
Total
12.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Arsenal attack

2.30goals per match
Bournemouth conceded1.90
Matchup

Bournemouth attack

1.40goals per match
Arsenal conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
3.10
Corners against
6.80
8.70
Match total
12.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.20
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
21.70
Match total
22.10

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
14.50N=10
5.50
On target
5.30
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches327
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.9%71.9%+5.9 pp
Draw20.7%19.6%-1.1 pp
Away13.4%8.6%-4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.559.6%
Over 3.536.1%
BTTS49.5%

Historical average

2.270.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
1-011.0%
2-010.4%
3-19.8%
3-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.703.38
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=327.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.4%46.3%–66.0% CI
Draw FT35.1%26.2%–45.2% CI
Away FT8.5%4.4%–15.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.5%
2+ goals48.9%
3+ goals24.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.1%
Away29.8%