Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-22 · 12:00
11.6557.1%
X3.8924.2%
25.0418.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Newcastle
WDWDWWLLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Sunderland
LDLDDLLLDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.50
1.80
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
0.90
2.20
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.40
Against
5.70
12.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.80
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Newcastle attack

2.00goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.60
Matchup

Sunderland attack

0.50goals per match
Newcastle conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.70
12.50
Match total
9.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.60
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
22.70
Match total
22.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
5.90
On target
3.10
14%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches614
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.1%57.7%+0.6 pp
Draw24.2%25.1%+0.9 pp
Away18.7%17.3%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.750.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.7%
2-112.5%
1-111.7%
2-09.3%
3-07.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.033.78
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=614.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.4%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches187
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT47.6%40.6%–54.7% CI
Draw FT35.3%28.8%–42.4% CI
Away FT17.1%12.4%–23.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals37.4%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.6%
Away40.1%