Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 20:00
12.4638.4%
X3.4227.6%
22.7734.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
LWDWDWLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Brentford
LLLWWLWWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.80
Against
5.70
10.50
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.60goals per match
Brentford conceded1.50
Matchup

Brentford attack

1.50goals per match
Leeds conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.70
10.50
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.50
Match total
19.80

Shots

13.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.30
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches570
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%38.8%+0.4 pp
Draw27.6%25.4%-2.1 pp
Away34.1%35.8%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS56.1%

Historical average

1.351.29

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-211.9%
1-011.8%
2-19.5%
0-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.66
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=570.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.3%30.4%–44.9% CI
Draw FT34.3%27.5%–41.8% CI
Away FT28.3%22.0%–35.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.9%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals20.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.8%
Away51.8%