Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 20:00
12.4638.4%
X3.4227.6%
22.7734.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leeds
LWDWDWLWLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Brentford
LLLWWLWWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.50
1.50
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.80
Against
5.70
10.50
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.50
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leeds attack
1.60goals per matchBrentford conceded1.50Matchup
Brentford attack
1.50goals per matchLeeds conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.70
10.50
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.60
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
22.50
Match total
19.80
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.30
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches570
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%38.8%+0.4 pp
Draw27.6%25.4%-2.1 pp
Away34.1%35.8%+1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS56.1%
Historical average
1.35–1.29
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.7%
1-211.9%
1-011.8%
2-19.5%
0-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.08–4.66
Average total9.74
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=570.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.3%30.4%–44.9% CI
Draw FT34.3%27.5%–41.8% CI
Away FT28.3%22.0%–35.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.9%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals20.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.8%
Away51.8%