Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 17:30
13.3827.8%
X3.5026.9%
22.0845.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Everton
WLWLLDDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Chelsea
WLDDDLWWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.00
Against
4.10
9.60
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Everton attack

1.30goals per match
Chelsea conceded1.30
Matchup

Chelsea attack

1.80goals per match
Everton conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.10
9.60
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.30
Match total
22.60

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.90
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%25.9%-2.0 pp
Draw26.9%26.2%-0.7 pp
Away45.3%47.9%+2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.201.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-210.9%
0-27.9%
0-17.9%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.715.31
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.534.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.9%10.3%–26.3% CI
Draw FT38.6%28.8%–49.3% CI
Away FT44.6%34.4%–55.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.72

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals54.2%
3+ goals26.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away68.7%