Premier League · 2025/26
2026-03-21 · 17:30
13.3827.8%
X3.5026.9%
22.0845.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Everton
WLWLLDDLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Chelsea
WLDDDLWWLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.00
Against
4.10
9.60
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Everton attack
1.30goals per matchChelsea conceded1.30Matchup
Chelsea attack
1.80goals per matchEverton conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.10
9.60
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.60N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
21.30
Match total
22.60
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
3.90
On target
4.70
11%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches340
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.8%25.9%-2.0 pp
Draw26.9%26.2%-0.7 pp
Away45.3%47.9%+2.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.532.4%
BTTS62.1%
Historical average
1.20–1.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.1%
1-210.9%
0-27.9%
0-17.9%
2-17.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.71–5.31
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=340.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.544.1%
Over 11.534.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.9%10.3%–26.3% CI
Draw FT38.6%28.8%–49.3% CI
Away FT44.6%34.4%–55.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.72
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.3%
2+ goals54.2%
3+ goals26.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.8%
Away68.7%